This report delves into the hypothetical yet increasingly plausible scenario of 25% global Bitcoin ownership. Leveraging key economic principles and adoption trends, it examines how Bitcoin’s fixed supply and growing global interest might lead to an unprecedented surge in its value.
Using various modeling techniques, the report estimates potential Bitcoin prices, considers its role as a global reserve asset, and discusses the societal implications of widespread Bitcoin adoption. Whether you’re a seasoned investor, a crypto enthusiast, or simply curious about the future of money, this report provides invaluable insights into Bitcoin’s transformative potential.
Given the fixed supply of Bitcoin at 21,000,000, if 25% of humanity owed Bitcoin, what would the price per Bitcoin?
Well to calculate the price per Bitcoin under the assumption that 25% of humanity owns Bitcoin, we need to make a few assumptions about demand and distribution. Let’s break it down:
Assumptions:
- Human Population: The current global population is approximately 8 billion people.
- 25% of 8 billion = 2 billion people owning Bitcoin.
- Bitcoin Fixed Supply: The total supply is fixed at 21 million BTC.
- If distributed evenly, each of the 2 billion owners would hold 21,000,0002,000,000,000=0.0105\frac{21,000,000}{2,000,000,000} = 0.0105 BTC.
- Market Capitalization: The total value of all Bitcoin would need to match the total wealth held by Bitcoin owners.
- Let’s assume Bitcoin captures some percentage of global wealth as demand grows.
Global Wealth Estimation
The estimated global wealth (as of 2024) is approximately $500 trillion USD.
Scenarios:
- Bitcoin Captures 1% of Global Wealth:
- Total value of Bitcoin = 1% of $500 trillion = $5 trillion.
- Price per Bitcoin = Total Bitcoin ValueTotal BTC Supply=5,000,000,000,00021,000,000\frac{\text{Total Bitcoin Value}}{\text{Total BTC Supply}} = \frac{5,000,000,000,000}{21,000,000} ≈ $238,095/BTC.
- Bitcoin Captures 5% of Global Wealth:
- Total value of Bitcoin = 5% of $500 trillion = $25 trillion.
- Price per Bitcoin = 25,000,000,000,00021,000,000\frac{25,000,000,000,000}{21,000,000} ≈ $1,190,476/BTC.
- Bitcoin Captures 10% of Global Wealth:
- Total value of Bitcoin = 10% of $500 trillion = $50 trillion.
- Price per Bitcoin = 50,000,000,000,00021,000,000\frac{50,000,000,000,000}{21,000,000} ≈ $2,380,952/BTC.
Conclusion
The price per Bitcoin depends heavily on the total wealth Bitcoin captures:
- At 1% global wealth capture: $238,095/BTC.
- At 5% global wealth capture: $1,190,476/BTC.
- At 10% global wealth capture: $2,380,952/BTC.
These are simplified estimates. Real-world factors like uneven distribution, market dynamics, adoption rates, and government regulations would also influence the price significantly.
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WILL THE MAGIC YEAR WILL BE 2040?
The timeline for Bitcoin reaching 25% global adoption is uncertain but is expected to align with the broader adoption of blockchain technologies and increasing interest in decentralized finance. Estimates from experts and adoption curve analyses suggest this milestone could occur around 2040, given Bitcoin’s current growth trajectory and its role as a digital store of value.
Key drivers include millennials’ increasing preference for cryptocurrency, the integration of crypto into traditional financial systems, and growing institutional and governmental interest in blockchain. However, the pace may vary due to regulatory developments, technological innovations, and market conditions
Charles Bivona Jr aka “Coach JP Money”, is the founder of Coach JP Money. He is a seasoned expert in financial coaching and wealth-building. A multifaceted visionary, Charles is also a writer, global citizen, eco-activist, musician, artist, entertainer, entrepreneur, investor, life coach, and syndicated columnist.
Charles’ journey began with a solid education in accounting, finance, and business at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas, and California State University, Fullerton. At just 17, he made his first real estate investment with no money down, igniting a lifelong passion for financial independence. By 1998, he had achieved debt-free status and has been building wealth ever since.
As an entrepreneur, Charles owned and operated five national newspapers in the U.S. before transitioning to digital media. He founded and managed influential online platforms, including HireVeterans.com (2004–2020) and VT Foreign Policy (2004–2023).
A proud expat since the late 1990s, Charles resides in Baja, Mexico, with his wife whom he married in 1985. Together, they have three adult children and seven grandchildren. Their eco-conscious home, built with sustainable super-adobe techniques, is now a luxury retreat known as Hacienda Eco-Domes.
Under his music alias Johnny Punish, a name coined during his days fronting the underground punk band Twisted Nixon, he continues to inspire through his art and advocacy through his newest musical adventure; Punish Studios.
Today, as “Coach JP Money” Charles dedicates his life to helping others achieve financial mastery and personal success, sharing decades of experience and wisdom through his coaching, writing, and creative endeavors.
Read the full bio at PunishStudios.com >>>
